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I’d still advocate for true bad luck protection, i.e. a guaranteed drop by some “nth” completion (or some other way to address it other than a drop chance increase), but this is a huge step closer. IMO it’s a little ridiculous that it took this long. It depends on Perfect Store The Bar Is Calling And I Must Go Shirt the number of clears we’re talking about. That’s highly unlikely under the current system, but it’s a statistical impossibility under the new scheme. I can guarantee there will be zero people who complete 80 clears of Scourge and still don’t have it if you start counting from next week.

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How can I guarantee that? The odds improve if we reduce the number of clears, but even not having it after 30 clears is roughly 1 in a million. Not having it after 40 clears is about 1 in a billion. And so on. So at 30 clears, it’s still possible (though unlikely because the pool of people who raid is relatively small, many of them already have Anarchy, etc.), but at 40 clears and beyond it increasingly turns into a statistical certainty. I mean, if we’re going to get really pedantic, the physical world deals only in statistics. There’s an infinitesimal chance that when you set your controller down on Perfect Store The Bar Is Calling And I Must Go Shirt the table, it will fall upward.

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That’s a statistical certainty. But it’s not mathematically impossible. To this day, I refuse to map the X button to any of the paddles on my Xbox Elite controller after someone shared a story back in D1 of setting their Elite on either their leg or something on a table, and it pressed down a paddle mapped to the X button while he was on Perfect Store The Bar Is Calling And I Must Go Shirt the character select screen and had walked away and it ended up deleting his main Guardian. I think it was also partially because he pressed the button for confirming instinctively when he got back and didn’t read the “Are you sure?”. But still. I’m not taking any chances.

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